7500 people poker tournament. 45 pay. I finish 46th. I’m never one to play poker safe on the bubble, min cashing is not my goal. In this instance, I paid the ultimate price.
Blinds = 8000/16000. I have 250K
I limp with 6s-8d-10d-9s double suited in clubs and diamonds. The small blind calls and the big blind checks.
Flop 2 pair, a gut shot straight draw, and a small flush draw: 10h-8s-As
Sb checks, BB min bets 16k. I raise to 40k. SB calls, BB folds.
Turn is an off suit 7. I turn the small straight. SB checks, I shove for about 170k he calls with a better flush draw (holding three cards to his suit, and I have two of them. He also has KQ for a gut shot. And the jack comes on the river. I bubble.
So, in this spot, the SB continues to play his flush draw and gut shot small by check-calling. He then misses his draws on the turn and checks again. I make him pay the ultimate price, 170k, of which he has me barely covered, and he decides to call off his stack. He has an extra flush card, and combined with my two, it brings his outs down to 6 and 4 jacks for his gut shot. Assuming they are all still in the deck he has 10 outs with one card to come. I am about an 80% favorite, yet I bubble. People just can’t seem to fold draws in Omaha poker.